(SP91) Assessing Key Vulnerabilities Post Global Financial Crisis, by Vincent Choon-Seng Lim and Dongkoo Chang
This paper highlights some of the vulnerabilities seen as overarching in the SEACEN economies. As the global economy recovers, the following scenarios are probable. Firstly, a possible upward shift of interest rates in developed economies could destabilize the emerging financial markets. Secondly, a potential rapid fall in capital inflows to SEACEN economies as the tapering takes full effect could pose growth risks. Thirdly, the shadow banking system could become a source of systemic risks and create opportunities for arbitrages. The paper also highlights the need for central banks to expand their toolkit to complement monetary policies, in particular macroprudential measures.
Click tabs to swap between content that is broken into logical sections.