A new working paper (WP2/2024) by Rogelio Mercado Jr., and Luca Sanfilippo is now available.
This paper uses MSBF flows dataset to assess capital flows push and pull factors and to provide new evidence on the effectiveness of capital account tightening measures. The results show: (i) higher U.S. monetary policy rates and global risk aversion significantly reduce aggregate MSBF flows and those in hard currencies, while stronger global commodity price growth and global liquidity significantly increase them; (ii) global and domestic GDP growth have a countercyclical impact on MSBF flows, and, (iii) capital account tightening measures that target fixed income investment funds are effective in reducing MSBF flows to EDMEs. Click here to read the paper.
